George L. Duarte

Mortgage Loans Fremont California Horizon Financial Associates

  • Home
  • About
    • About
    • Awards
    • Privacy Policy
    • California Privacy Notice
    • Accessibility Statement
  • Reverse Mortgage Library
  • Resources
    • Real Estate Corner Radio Show
    • VA Loans
    • Home Appraisal
    • Home Inspection
    • Loan Checklist
    • Loan Process
    • Loan Programs
    • Mortgage FAQ
    • Mortgage Glossary
    • Closing Costs
    • Living Trusts
  • Reviews
    • Video Testimonials
    • Reviews
    • Write a Review
  • Apply Now
  • Contact

Home Builder Confidence Moves To 6-Year High

October 17, 2012 by George Duarte

NAHB Housing Market IndexAs home prices rise, so does home builder confidence.

Tuesday, the National Association of Homebuilders reported its monthly Housing Market Index (HMI) at 41, a one-tick improvement from September and the highest HMI value since June 2006 — a span of 77 months.

The Housing Market Index is a homebuilder confidence indicator. When it reads 50 or better, the HMI suggests favorable conditions for home builders nationwide. Readings below 50 suggest unfavorable conditions for builders.

The HMI has not crossed 50 since April 2006 but the index has been making a run since last year, nearly tripling since the 14 reading of last year’s September.

In addition, builder confidence has climbed for six straight months.

For Minneapolis buyers of new construction, the Housing Market Index may help to set market expectations for the rest of 2012, and into early-2013. This is because the NAHB Housing Market Index is constructed as a composite survey, measuring builder sentiment in three specific areas — current home sales, future home sales, and buyer foot traffic.

What’s good for builders, though, may not be good for buyers.

When builders expect business to improve, they may be less willing to make concessions on price or product, holding home prices high and removing seasonal sales incentives.

This month, home builders are seeing strength in each of the three surveyed areas :

  • Current Single-Family Sales : 42 (Unchanged from September)
  • Projected Single-Family Sales : 51 (Unchanged from September)
  • Buyer Foot Traffic : 35 (+5 from September)

All three values are at multi-year highs but it’s the level of foot traffic that may concern today’s home buyers. Builders report foot traffic through model units to be at the highest rate since mid-last decade. This, combined with a shrinking supply of homes for sale, has contributed to a rise in new home sale prices and suggests even higher home prices in 2013.

Like most of the U.S. housing market, new construction appears to have bottomed in October 2011. One year later, the market looks stronger.

Filed Under: Housing Analysis Tagged With: HMI, Housing Market Index, NAHB

Sidebar View Lending Cert
NAMB Member Cert
Apply Now!
Mortgage Refinance Companies
NAMB
Veterans VABA Member
CMC Logo

Follow My Posts and Sign Up for My Newsletter!

Download Our App!



Horizon Financial Associates BBB Business Review

Connect with Me

Recent Awards

Mortgage Pros
2019 Best of Fremont 2017 Best of Fremont 2016 Best of Fremont
See More Awards →

Browse Articles by Category

Recent Articles

  • 5 Tips for Crafting a Counter-offer That Doesn’t Scare Away a Potential Home Buyer
  • What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – March 27, 2023
  • 3 Things That Will Absolutely Kill Your Chances for a Mortgage Approval
  • Mortgage Interest Rate Versus APR: What To Know
Horizon Financial Associates is a BBB Accredited Mortgage Broker in Fremont, CA
Equal Housing Opp
CRB Logo REALTOR logo

Our Location


39488 Stevenson Pl
Fremont, CA 94539

Copyright © 2023 · Powered by MySMARTblog