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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – August 1, 2022

August 1, 2022 by George Duarte

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - August 1, 2022Last week’s economic news included readings on home price growth, new and pending home sales, and inflation. Weekly reports on mortgage rates and jobless claims were also released.

S&P Case-Shiller: Home Price Growth Slows in May

Home prices rose at a slower pace in May according to the S&P Case-Shiller National Home Price Index. Year-over-year home prices rose by 19.70 percent in May as compared to April’s year-over-year reading of 20.60 percent in home price appreciation. Tampa, Florida led S&P Case-Shiller’s 20-City Home Price Index with 36.10 percent year-over-year home price growth. Miami, Florida followed with 34.00 percent home price appreciation. Dallas, Texas reported a 30.80 percent growth rate in home prices.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency, which oversees Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, reported 1.40 percent growth in home prices month-to-month and 18.30 percent growth year-over-year for May. FHFA data covers purchase-only transactions associated with home loans owned or backed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Analysts said that slower growth in home prices signaled a cooling market after years of rapidly rising home prices.

The Commerce Department reported the lowest number of new home sales since the pandemic. New homes sold at a seasonally-adjusted annual pace of 590,000 sales in June as compared to May’s reading of 642,000 sales. Rising mortgage rates and high home prices eroded affordability for first-time and moderate-income home buyers.

Mortgage Rates and Jobless Claims Fall

Freddie Mac reported lower mortgage rates last week as rates for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages fell by 24 basis points to 5.30 percent; rates for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 4.58 percent and 17 basis points lower than for the previous week. Rates for 5/1 adjustable rate mortgages averaged 4.29 percent and were two basis points lower on average. Discount points averaged 0.80 percent for fixed-rate mortgages and 0.30 percent for 5/1 adjustable rate mortgages.

Fewer first-time jobless claims were filed last week with 256,000 claims filed as compared to the previous week’s reading of 261,000 initial claims filed. Analysts expected 249,000 first-time jobless claims to be filed last week.

The Federal Reserve moved to slow inflation by raising its target interest rate range from 1.50 percent to 1.75 percent to 2.25 to 2.50 percent. Interest rates are expected to rise for consumer loans, credit cards, and variable-rate education loans. The Commerce Department’s personal consumption price index rose by one percent in June, which was the fastest month-to-month growth rate in 40 years. Analysts expected inflation to increase by 0.90 percent.  

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic reporting includes readings on construction spending and job growth; weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims will also be released. 

Filed Under: Financial Reports Tagged With: Financial Report, Housing Market, Jobless Claims

Case-Shiller: Home Price Growth Slows in April

July 1, 2022 by George Duarte

Case-Shiller: Home Price Growth Slows in April

U.S. home price growth continued but slowed in April according to the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indices. The national home price index posted year-over-year home price growth of 20.4 percent in April as compared to the corresponding home price growth rate of 20.6 percent in March. Analysts said that diminishing affordability was slowing rapid gains in home prices seen during the pandemic.

20-City Home Price Index: Florida and Arizona Report Top Home Price Growth Rates

The top three cities for year-over-year home price growth in April’s 20-City Home Price Index were Tampa, Florida with a reading of 35.8 percent; Miami, Florida reported 33.3 percent growth and Phoenix, Arizona reported a year-over-year home price growth rate of 31.3 percent.

Nine of the 20 cities included in the index reported higher price gains in April as compared to March. All 20 cities reported higher home prices in April than in March. While analysts noted the slower pace of home price growth, they cautioned against expecting falling home prices any time soon. Craig J. Lazzara, managing director of S&P Dow Jones Indices said that April’s increase in home prices ranked in the top 20 percent of historical experience for every city, and in the top 10 percent for 19 of the cities included in the 20-City Home Price Index.

FHFA House Price Index: Home Prices Rise in April

The Federal Housing Finance Agency, which oversees Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, reported a year-over-year home price growth rate of 18.8 percent for single-family homes owned or financed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Home prices of homes owned or financed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac rose at a month-to-month pace of 1.6 percent in April.

The FHFA Home Price Index reports on home prices across the nine Census divisions; month-to-month home price growth ranged from 0.3 percent in the East South-Central division to 14.1 percent in the Mid-Atlantic division to 23.5 percent in the South Atlantic division. The FHFA Home Price Index is based on single-family home sales data from more than 400 cities in all 50 states. 

Filed Under: Financial Reports Tagged With: Case Shiller, Financial Report, Housing Market

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